监理检测网论坛

注册

 

发新话题 回复该主题

公路监理师工程经济投资方案比选(净现值)计算 [复制链接]

1#
某建设项目有A、B两个投资方案,基准收益率ic=10%,其现金流量(投资与效益)见下表^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

现金流量表^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

折现系数^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

(P/F,10%,n^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

方案A^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

方案B^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

投资与^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

利益^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

净现值^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

累计净现^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

投资与利^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

净现值^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

累计净现^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

1^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

0.9091^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

-1 200^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

-2 500^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

2^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

0.8264^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

-1 500^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

-2 300^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

3^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

0.7513^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

850^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

1 500^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

4^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

0.6830^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

850^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

1 500^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

5^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

0.6209^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

850^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

1 500^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

6^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

0.5645^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

850^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

1 500^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

7^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

0.5132^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

850^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

1 500^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

8^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

0.4665^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

850^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

1 500^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

9^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

0.4241^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

850^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

1 500^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡

参考系数:^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,20%,2]=1.5278^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,25%,2]=1.4400^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,20%,1]=0.8333
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,30%,2]=1.3609^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,25%,2]=1.2894^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,25%,1]=0.8000
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,20%,7]=3.6046^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,20%,2]=3.1611^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,10%,7]=4.8683
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,30%,7]=2.8021^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,20%,2]=2.5075
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,20%,2]=0.6944^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,20%,2]=0.6400
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,30%,2]=0.5917^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[P/A,20%,2]=0.5487
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[问题]^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
试分别应用如下两种方法,对A、B两方案进行评价和优选。^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
1、净现值法;2、内部收益率法。^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
[参考答案]^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
1、净现值法:^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
NPVA=-1200[P/F,10%,1]-1500[P/F,10%,2]+850[P/A,10%,7][P/F,10%,2]^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
=-1200×0.9091-1500×0.8264+850×4.8683×0.8264^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
=1089.17(万元)^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
NPVB-2500[P/F,10%,1]-2300[P/F,10%,2]+1500[P/A,10%,7][P/F,10%,2]^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
=-2500×0.9091-2300×0.8264+1500×4.8683×0.8264^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
=1861.27(万元)^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
两方案的净现值均大于0,作为单方案在经济上都是可行的。^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
但A、B方案相比, NPVB > NPVA,表明B方案的经济效果更好,因此应采用B 方案。^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
2、内部收益率法:^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
根据内部收益率的定义,令NPV=0,求IRR。^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
⑴.求A方案的IRR:^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
NPVA-1200[P/F,IRRA,1]-1500[P/F,IRRA,2]+850[P/A,IRRA,7][P/F,IRRA,2] ^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
①用试算法计算^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
假设IRRA=20%:^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
NPVA=-1200[P/F,20%,1]-1500[P/F,20%,2]+850[P/A,20%,7][P/F,20%,2]^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
=86.027(万元)^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
假设IRRA=25%:^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
NPVA=-1200[P/F,25%,1]-1500[P/F,25%,2]+850[P/A,25%,7][P/F,25%,2]^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
=-200.36(万元)^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
②用插值法求IRRA^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
IRRA
=20%+86.02/(86.02+200.36)×(25%-20%)=21.5%^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
⑵.求B方案的IRR:^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
NPVB=-2500[P/F,IRRB,1]-2300[P/F,IRRB,2]+1500[P/A,IRRB,7][P/F,IRRB,2]^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
①用试算法计算^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
假设IRRB=20%^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
NPVB=-2500[P/F,20%,1]-2300[P/F,20%,2]+1500[P/A,20%,7][P/F,20%,2]^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
=74.18(万元)^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
假设IRRB=25%^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
NPVB=-2500[P/F,25%,1]-2300[P/F,25%,2]+1500[P/A,25%,7][P/F,25%,2]^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
=-437.34(万元) ^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
②用插值法求IRRB^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
IRRB
=20%+74.18/(74.18+437.34)×(25%-20%)=20.7%^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
因为A、B两方案内部收益率均大于基准收益率ic=10%,说明两个方案作为单方案在经济上是可行的。但两方案相比IRRA > IRRB ,故采用A方案优。 ^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
分享 转发
TOP
2#

值得学习啊^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
TOP
3#

赶紧来看看学习了^S±U$q6Ïbbs.3c3t.comyXcî:k'ð¡
TOP
发主话题 回复该主题